WEEKEND PREVIEW
The big noise starts this weekend with Starship Troopers. Twenty-five
million is my estimate. A big number, but doable. Even surpassable.
With all the people going to genre movies (see slots three, five and
seven), the stage is set for this one, by far the biggest, brashest
entry in the category since Men In Black last July. There are
some worries about Bean stealing some of Troopers' opening thunder,
but I see these as separate audiences. I think Bean will open
around $10 million, with longer legs than Troopers, but a far less explosive
impact.
The numbers amongst the holdovers should make them look a bit like leftovers.
With 30 percent drops, look for I Know What You Did Last Summer
to pass the $50 million mark with $6.6 million, Red Corner to
take fourth with $5.2 million, and The Devil's Advocate to hit
fifth, also with about $5.2 million.
Boogie Nights should drop modestly (gambling on you guys again),
about 20 percent to $3.7 million for sixth place. Seven Years In
Tibet finally hits the seventh slot with a 30 percent drop to $2.3
million. Fairy Tale: A Running Gag should drop about 25 percent
to $2.2 million for eighth spot. Kiss The Girls may finally get
slashed with a 40 percent drop to $2.1 million for ninth. And Gattaca
may actually pass the magical $10 million mark adding another $1.6 million
to it's take for tenth.
Think you have a clearer view of the future? E-mail
me.



